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Saturday July 31, 2010
9:00am
From:
The CIVETS: Windfall Wealth From the ‘New’ BRIC Economies
Forget the BRICs... the term coined by Goldman Sachs economist Jim O'Neill coined to identify the potential of the emerging economies of Brazil, Russia, India and China.

There's a new acronym in town: CIVETS.

Haven't heard of it? You will.

It refers to Colombia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Egypt, Turkey and South Africa... the new kids on the block that promise to deliver even bigger windfall wealth than the BRICs ever did.

But, only if you pick the right markets at the right time...

Read on to find out where the
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Saturday July 24, 2010
6:00am
From:
Canada: The World’s Economic Compass
If you're looking for a reliable investment, look no further than Canada.

It's strange, but with so much talk about troubles in the United States, Europe, China and the Middle East these days, one of the best-performing economies in the world is often overlooked.

Of course, that's finally started to change since the financial crisis has exposed our northern neighbor as a model economy.

Suddenly, Canada is being held up as a shining light of sobriety, daring, common sense, and strong returns.

Why is Canada's economy so strong? Should investors be looking north for big returns? Find out in
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Wednesday July 21, 2010
1:45pm
From:
Equitymaster: How to invest in an infra stock?
  RoE Table     FY06     FY07     FY08     FY09     FY10  
  Company A     37.1%     39.1%     41.3%     32.5%     32.3%  
  Company B     19.5%     10.7%     13.1%     12.5%     11.0%  

A cursory look at the table might reveal that we are comparing companies across two different industries. This appears
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11:35am
From:
Taipan Daily: Reasons to sell in the aftermath of the Agricultural Bank of China IPO
In the aftermath of the $19 billion Agricultural Bank of China IPO, the dragon is struggling... and there are plenty of reasons to consider selling.

A few months back we broke down the major China ETFs - FXI, HAO and PGJ. (You can access that piece here.)

Today the technical and fundamental picture looks bearish for all three...

The chart above is for the most popular of the three ETFs, the Xinhua China 25 (FXI:NYSE). The red line represents the 200-day exponential moving average, a sort of key waterline for bullish and
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Saturday July 17, 2010
9:00am
From:
Money Morning Mid-Year Forecast: India is on the Path to Double-Digit Growth
If it's able to control inflation and cut its debt, India could well become the world's most appealing investment opportunity.

Europe is choking on debt and scrambling to salvage its beleaguered currency. The United States is saddled by high unemployment and struggling to preserve its wobbly recovery. Even China - which has had to reign in its stimulus to cool its red-hot property market and curb inflation - may have peaked.

Yet India's gross domestic product (GDP) is shooting sharply higher, and many economists think economic growth in the subcontinent is about surge into the double-digits for the first time ever.

"For the first time it appears entirely within the realm
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Saturday July 10, 2010
9:00am
From:
Ignore the “Experts”: 7 Reasons Not to Invest in Japan
KYOTO, Japan - Now that Japan's Nikkei 225 is half the relative price of the S&P 500 - and the cheapest it's been in three decades, investors are flocking to invest in Japan.

But, I don't "buy" it - and you shouldn't, either.

To be sure, there are still world-class businesses here and many Japanese companies are in the best competitive positions they've been in for years. And yet, bluntly speaking, I've never seen a more-nightmarish situation. And here's why:

  1. Japan's domestic market is a demographic disaster that's characterized by a rapidly aging population and an impossibly low birth rate - neither of which suggest that domestic consumption will improve
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Wednesday July 7, 2010
3:29pm
From:
Taipan Daily: Investment Lessons – Letting Go, Diversification and Risk Taking
Every once in a while, it pays to go back to school. Even investors who've been around the block a time or two need a refresher in some time-tested lessons.

That especially goes for us editors here at Taipan Publishing Group. We analyze and sift through so much information to get to an investment opportunity that it's hard to let go of that idea when it doesn't pan out. I'm guilty of it myself, and I wrote about one such incident in my last Taipan Daily article, "How to Invest in Alternative Energy During the Gulf Oil Crisis."

That article inspired TD reader Stephen E. to write me a comment.

He reminded me that about four years ago I wrote about Samsö, a tiny
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Tuesday July 6, 2010
4:51pm
From:
Government Spending Cutbacks Increase Odds of Double-Dip Recession
The odds of slower economic growth or even a double-dip recession are increasing as industrial countries, led by the United States & United Kingdom, embark on the most aggressive government spending cutbacks and tightening of fiscal policy in four decades.

As they reduce or eliminate stimulus programs installed in reaction to the Great Recession that began in December 2007, governments are gambling they can pare debt without strangling an economic recovery.

Nations will reduce their primary budget deficits, excluding interest payments, by 1.6 percentage points next year, the most since the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) began keeping records in 1970, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) economists. The budget squeeze will lop 0.9 percentage point off growth in 2011.

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Monday July 5, 2010
Saturday July 3, 2010
9:00am
From:
U.S. Economy: Headed For a Second-Half Slowdown
Constant stock market volatility, a crippled job market and the troubles plaguing the European markets are starting to take their toll on the U.S. economy. After the major market rally of 2009, is the U.S. economy headed for a second-half slowdown... or, worse, the dreaded double-dip recession? Read this report to find out exactly what's in store for the U.S. economy...

Most textbook economists say that the U.S. economy is engaged in a broad-based recovery. But while there's a consensus that there's no "double-dip" recession on the horizon, the evidence suggests the nation's economy is headed for a slowdown in the second half of 2010.

The reason: In a market that derives 70% of its growth from consumer spending, the last half of this year will be all about
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Thursday July 1, 2010
11:07am
From:
Taipan Daily: Profit from Alternative Energy ETF’s in Wake of BP Oil Spill
Publisher's Note: Justice is taking a few days off for a family event. We've asked Taipan's Senior Research Director, Sara Nunnally, to step in. Justice will be back next week. But in the meantime, enjoy Sara's insightful look into the Gulf oil crisis, and what it could mean to you and your investments.

How many cleanup and well-cap plans have gone wrong with the BP oil spill disaster in the Gulf of Mexico? So many that a spoof of BP's efforts has gone viral... a video of a coffee spill in a BP boardroom.

You can view it here, and it would be even more comical if the situation weren't so dire.

Everything
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Saturday June 26, 2010
9:00am
From:
Is it Time to Bet Against the U.S. Dollar?
The U.S. dollar has been one of the world's strongest currencies in the first part of 2010.

And it's no wonder. The Greek debt crisis continues to threaten Europe's overall health, and could unleash an entirely new contagion on the rest of the global economy. Then there's China, - the engine of world growth during much of the financial crisis - which now appears to face the near-term triple threat of slowing growth, accelerating inflation and workplace unrest. Add in concerns about commodity prices and global debt levels and it's easy to see why currency investors have sought the safe haven of the U.S. dollar.

But is the greenback really the best choice for safety,
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6:00am
From:
Free Report: The New Global Power Broker in Oil
Topics:Uganda
Uganda has found oil, and lots of it. But it lacks the ability to turn crude into needed oil products, like gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and low-sulfur heating oil. Unless it can develop a local way to process the oil coming out of the ground, it must rely upon exporting that production as raw material – at a far lower price than the refined product would command.

Yet the problem is hardly limited to producing countries. And here is where the investor needs to take stock of the changing landscape in the hunt for oil profits. Indeed, the new global power broker in oil has emerged...

To continue, simply enter your email address below to receive the full report from Dr. Moors.
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Thursday June 24, 2010
10:11am
From:
Taipan Daily: If They Don’t Own Gold, Don’t Trust Their Opinion on Gold
As an asset class, gold stirs the passions. Some folks love it, and others despise it. Be wary of those who will never own gold.

As I write this note to you on Friday, fingers flying over keys like the flickering quotes on my screens, Pink Floyd's "Learning to Fly" is playing on my speakers.

It's an appropriate tune, because gold is once again "learning to fly" now. After one or two scrapped take-off attempts, the yellow precious metal has broken out to fresh all-time highs. (Well... nominal highs at least. To break inflation-adjusted highs - which will happen sooner or later - gold will have to trade above $2,000 per ounce.)

Your humble editor has spilled a fair amount of ink (pixels?) on
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Saturday June 19, 2010
9:00am
From:
Oil Prices Set to Soar in the Second-Half of 2010
Oil prices hit a wall this spring.

Rattled investors who worried about the direction of the global economy shunned black gold in favor of real gold as a means of preserving capital.

But don't be fooled. The spring retreat simply set the stage for a second-half rally.

After starting the year at about $81 a barrel, prices climbed as high as $86 a barrel before plunging to $64 on May 25.

At work in that period was the same shaky market sentiment that wreaked havoc on global equities. Fears that rising debt levels in Europe and other developed economies would lead to another financial meltdown, and that China and other emerging markets would not be able to sustain
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Thursday June 17, 2010
11:11am
From:
Taipan Daily: What Happens When Peter Wants His Money Back?
FedEx's unfunded pension problem gives us a clear look at the troubles lurking just around the corner for those who borrowed their way through the recession.

Is the recession truly over?

It may seem somewhat late to be asking that question. After all, haven't Washington and Wall Street already bragged as to how we have had an adequate number of consecutive months of GDP growth to sound the death knell for "The Great Recession of 2007-2010"? Heck, we've even been regaled by the Federal Reserve itself as to how American's "wealth" has increased for four straight quarters now.

As usual, the actual answer to that question is somewhat more complex - and substantially more disturbing - than our little propaganda makers would have you think.
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Tuesday June 15, 2010
11:16am
From:
Marcellus Explosion-BP Spill: Both Involved This Faulty $7 Piece of Plastic
Sometimes the very smallest part of a complicated piece of equipment can bring down the entire project.

The part at issue here, a thin ring of rubberized plastic, costs about $7. Yet it may be responsible for forcing the U.S. to rethink its entire domestic energy strategy.

Here's what happened.

Clearfield County is a rural area of scenic rolling hills in northwestern Pennsylvania, about an hour from my house. Shortly after 8 p.m. on the evening of June 3rd, I received a text message: The sky over Clearfield County had exploded above a natural gas well being drilled there in the Marcellus Shale. I read the news and knew that, along with the well, much of the last five weeks'
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Wednesday June 9, 2010
4:18pm
From:
Free Report: Marcellus Explosion-BP Spill: Both Involved This Faulty $7 Piece of Plastic
Popular opinion is rising in opposition to drilling offshore, thanks to the disastrous Gulf of Mexico oil spill. But now we have a similar event challenging the ability of companies to produce safely onshore: last week's (under-reported) explosion of a natural gas well in Clearfield County, Pennsylvania.

Few even know it happened. Fewer still know that this blowout in the Marcellus Shale and the BP tragedy in the Gulf both involve the failure of the same vital piece of equipment - a $7 ring of rubberized plastic. And it could change U.S. energy policy forever...

To continue, simply enter your email address below to receive the full report from Dr. Moors. By special arrangement, you'll
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Tuesday June 8, 2010
10:22am
From:
Taipan Daily: Spoiling Wall Street’s Surprise
Spoiler Alert: If you read this column, you will know exactly what comes next in Wall Street's ugly little drama.

Sometimes I don't know whether to excoriate the Wall Street/Washington axis for its constant efforts at obfuscation - or thank it for all the smoke and mirrors.

Yes, there is something deeply troubling about a culture so utterly dedicated to the manipulation of facts. But then again, these distortions introduce exactly the sort of information gaps that power the most lucrative trading opportunities.

For example, we have recently read that British Petroleum (BP) - mired armpit deep in a cesspool of oil of unknown size and depth, and fully aware that it will be sued continuously unto the next generation - is rewarding loyal investors with a
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Saturday June 5, 2010
6:00am
From:
The Case for $5,000 Gold: And How to Profit
The gold bull is unstoppable.

Gold prices are up fourfold since 2001 and hit a new record high near $1,250 an ounce on May 14. But they're still nowhere close to finished.

In fact, another four-fold increase could be in the cards.

It sounds like a gold bug's dream. But looking back to the last inflation-adjusted peak price in 1980, it's far from impossible that the gold price could soon go above $5,000.

Increased demand for gold along with dwindling supplies (there's a reason it's a "precious" metal - there isn't much of it!) are creating a perfect storm: a storm that could send gold to unprecedented highs. Read on to learn the case for $5,000 gold... and for four specific
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